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Post by andrealouise on Mar 7, 2012 23:53:48 GMT
2297
Door B, because usually the first choice being A is not always the best choice
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Post by Lieutenant Fatman on Mar 8, 2012 11:01:20 GMT
2298 And the door that you would have been best off choosing.. is in fact door B. Yes the scenario that I came up with is in fact a veridical paradox derived from the Monty Hall problem that Duke alluded to. I never saw that episode of Myth Busters but it sounds like they got it right this time. Always switch in these circumstances. Door B would probably lead you to freedom. Probably!? Yes, it's not guaranteed, but it gives you a 75% chance of survival, door A which you originally chose, only 25%. Unfortunately most people will stick with their original choice, almost 90% of people in fact. It's 50/50 right? One door is right, one is wrong. Yes, but you have disregarded the other two completely from the puzzle. Don't! They are important. Keeping them in the puzzle gives you a great advantage. You see when you first wake up, you have a one in four chance of surviving. No argument there. The other three doors are your 75% percent. Now the rule is we remove two of the incorrect answers and we make you aware of which these are, but we never remove the door you choose at first. The final door that you haven't choosen remains at having a 75% probability. It seems absolutely absurd, but it is perefctly logical. It may not have clicked yet, you can read up on it: en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Monty_Hall_ProblemOr you can do the test yourself. The circumstances can be changed easily, for example replace the doors with boxes, freedom with fruit. Three apples, one banana, everyone wants the banana, obviously. Bananas rule. Also, never underestimate pigeons. What? Yes pigeons, they will work this problem out far more quickly than people will. Do this puzzle several times and they will work out to switch every time much more quickly than us. Maybe it's because, they're evil, I don't know. Scary Pigeon: Probably the one responsible for putting you in that room.
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Post by andrealouise on Mar 11, 2012 1:30:47 GMT
2299 I did like that lil puzzle. On a different note. Why is movie link Game and 6 word story been so inactive for like a week now? Come on Guys....IT'S FUN!
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Post by Casselle on Mar 11, 2012 20:30:09 GMT
2300 Lack of decent internet connection I plan to post now! haha and damn, I lost!
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Post by andrealouise on Mar 11, 2012 21:54:50 GMT
2301
Well at least you started the game off again Dark Angel. All good.
So it is monday tomorrow again. The weeks seem to go so fast now. In fact the whole past 10 years seem to really speed up. If you think back to when you were a child, I am 32 now. It seems not that long ago.
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Post by Pipliran on Mar 11, 2012 22:44:38 GMT
2302
LOL, it does indeed seem like time flies past, kinda sucks sometimes. I am actually shocked that out of the many forums I have been in, over the years and how many of them have "counting threads" and this forum, has managed to get upto 2302 so far, thats mad.
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Post by Lieutenant Fatman on Mar 12, 2012 15:23:49 GMT
2303 Time does indeed fly, especially when you're having fun. One day I may have to read through this from the start, haha. Could take a while.
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Post by andrealouise on Mar 12, 2012 16:05:41 GMT
2304
I have been so bored lately that I actually may end up reading this thread from start to finish sooner than I think!
What has everyone got planned for this week other than working?
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Post by Lieutenant Fatman on Mar 12, 2012 16:15:58 GMT
2305
Haha, good luck! You'll have to let us know your favourite bits if you do. Hehe. I have the week off, doing DIY today, and computer games non stop for the rest of the week if all goes to plan, weeeee. Loads of games I need to play, so it's good to have the time.
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Post by Duke Dudeston on Mar 12, 2012 18:23:56 GMT
2306
Urm.... apart from working, and I assume the usual things around the house, just general chilling, and playing on the Dungeons & Doughnuts board!
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Post by Casselle on Mar 12, 2012 19:46:02 GMT
2307
Boring I know, but I have a lot of work to do, so wont have a lot of spare time, what time I get will be on FFXI / XIV and here.
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Post by Lieutenant Fatman on Mar 12, 2012 20:38:49 GMT
2308 Heh, I was writing my bit for the RPG game and stopped for dinner. Came back and you two had both posted so I ended up writing twice as much, lol. Definitely wasn't intending to write that much, haha, ah well.
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Tabicat
Doughnut Dude
MEOW
Posts: 469
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Post by Tabicat on Mar 12, 2012 21:38:08 GMT
2309
Yay! The forum is still here!
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Post by Duke Dudeston on Mar 13, 2012 16:09:28 GMT
2310
Yup, and welcome back!
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Post by Pipliran on Mar 14, 2012 13:25:20 GMT
2311
I thought that I be ready to post my next move in the RPG boards, but nope, Duke's only got round to posting.. c'mon it wasn't like you were playing FFXI all night last night... oh wait.. you were!
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